As we wait for the final 2014 Solar Renewable Energy Credits (SRECs) to mint for the state of Maryland, chances are high that the market will be the closest to equilibrium that it has been in 3 years. Uncertainty around this news centers on how many SRECs the state supported Mt. St. Mary’s solar project has generated since its installation in July 2012. By standard estimates, these SRECs currently represent approximately 20% of all SRECs technically eligible for compliance in Maryland’s Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) for 2014.

The Maryland Energy Administration (MEA), which owns two thirds of the system’s SRECs, has stated publicly that its SRECs will be offered for sale at 90% of the Alternative Compliance Payment (ACP) as a ‘last resort’ in the case of an undersupplied market. For the 2014 compliance year this offer equates to a price of $360. The University System of Maryland has expressed publicly that it will not sell its one third portion of system production, either.

Though the market saw strong build toward the end of 2014, the oversupply has steadily declined from its peak three years ago.

Though the market saw strong build toward the end of 2014, the oversupply has steadily declined from its peak three years ago.

 

For more detail on the results presented above, please contact the SREC desk by email.

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